Saturday, August 30, 2008

Pluto Stations: Cap and Sag battle it out; Russia cements her power

Pluto is stationing again, as he does twice a year – standing still in the sky before he changes direction – and at these times his influence is more powerful than usual. He has been within quarter of a degree of his turning point for a couple of weeks now, and will turn on Sept 9th.

Pluto at 28.29 Sag is stationing trine to the Russian Sun (using the Yeltsin tank Chart) at 25.51 Leo, and we have in recent weeks seen the ease (trine) with which she asserted her power (Pluto) in Georgia. Indeed, this trining transit to Russia’s Sun has been going on for a few years now, a period in which she has steadily, and with little real opposition, increased her power in the world (10th House Sun). The basis for this re-assertion has been her oil wealth, and Pluto left her Second House a few years ago, having created this new basis.

Russia is coming to the very end of her Pluto-Sun transit, a time in which we are likely to see defining outcomes. And the events in Georgia have been defining: Russia unambiguously claiming power over her own ‘backyard’, as in the days of the USSR and Tsarist Russia before that.

(With Uranus currently squaring the Russian Moon (people) at 19 Sag, Russia has advanced the interesting argument that many of the people in neighbouring countries are Russian citizens, and she has the right to protect them!)

There is due to be an EU meeting next week to discuss sanctions against Russia for violating Georgia’s territorial integrity (she seized two breakaway regions from Georgia and then recognised their independence.) Russia is letting it be known that she will cut off the oil/gas pipelines to Europe (due to ‘technical problems’) if these talks proceed. Note, not if there actually are sanctions, but if the EU even discusses them. Which is how e.g. the USA would behave. Remember how France was treated in the US when it opposed the Iraq War - ‘Liberation Fries’, French wine being poured away and all that? With Pluto still stationing, we may see further events that cement Russia’s claim to be treated once more as a superpower, rather than a ‘third world’ country that can be threatened with sanctions or opposed in any way.

Pluto has also been heavily involved in the ‘credit crunch’ and the threat of worldwide recession that is still with us. The astrology has in a way been simple. Pluto in Sagittarius gave us a long period of economic growth, but also excess and recklessness: Pluto’s entry into Capricorn earlier this year has begun demanding prudence and payment for the long party.

But Pluto isn’t yet finally in Capricorn. He has reversed back into Sag for a while this year. So we are between 2 worlds, and with Pluto stationing, indicative events are likely. Recent economic data from the US showed a surprising amount of growth. Yet Alistair Darling, the UK Chancellor, yesterday said that we faced the deepest economic difficulties for 60 years. Confused? So am I. Sagittarius and Capricorn are still battling it out. Sagittarian over-optimism versus Capricornian doom and gloom.

Capricorn will win out, because that is the sign that Pluto will finally enter later this year. But it may not be as gloomy as Alistair Darling forecasts, for that is the shadow of Capricorn. But one can certainly predict significant adjustment and re-structuring of the economy in the coming years.


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Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Pakistan and a Ramble about Democracy

The MC, or overhead point, in the Pakistani Chart is in Aquarius. It is like a lonely pointer to Democracy in a chart which is heavily weighted towards the lower half, where we find Sun in Leo conjunct Pluto, which is a classic indicator of strong-man leadership.


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So there is a conflict in Pakistan’s chart between the type of government the country aspires to – Democracy – and the type of leader it attracts and probably needs. And its history since 1947 bears this out. There have been no less than 4 military coups. In its latest attempt at Democracy, the old army President Musharraf has been forced to resign and the country is descending into a familiar chaos.

Musharraf seized power in 1999, as Neptune conjoined the MC: dissolution (Neptune) of Democracy (Aquarius). Now, in 2008, we have Neptune (dissolution) opposing the Leo Sun (dictatorship). The Sun is conjunct natal Pluto, which is why it tends towards dictatorship.

The term dictatorship has a bad press, and term democracy a good press. I am not using the terms with those slants, but descriptively. The West has a knee-jerk opposition to dictatorships. When Musharraf first seized power, America imposed sanctions. When it became clear he was a useful ally in the so-called War on Terror, America gave considerable help to Pakistan. Neither response had anything to do with Pakistan itself and its actual needs. And it makes clear that America’s military/economic interests come first, and it’s desire for political change comes second – but even that is ideological and unthinking.

You can see why some countries need dictatorships at certain points. And democracy even at its best has its farcical aspects.

The chart I used for Russia in my last post gives Sun in Leo square to Pluto. So like Pakistan, it attracts strongman leadership. But there isn’t the same conflict: Russia’s MC is in Leo, so the institutions of government are in harmony with the actual leadership. The Russian government is bare-faced about suppressing the political opposition, but the populace doesn’t seem to mind, re-electing Putin/Medvedev with a huge majority.

With Zimbabwe, we again see a hard Sun-Pluto aspect and dictatorship. But the Sun in Aries is opposite the Libra MC. So like Pakistan, the country is torn between different principles. The astrology is saying it’s not a matter of getting Mugabe and his cronies out of the way and then there will be democracy. There may be democracy for a while, but there is also this other tendency in the country.

In Iran we also see Sun in Aries opposite Pluto in Libra, but no conflicting MC or Moon involvement. So this country also tends towards dictatorship, and its elections are heavily controlled. There is opposition to the clerics, who hold much of the power, but this struggle doesn’t define the country in the way it does with Pakistan and Zimbabwe. With a natal Moon-Venus-Saturn t-square, the people (Moon) and particularly the women (Venus) are kept well under control (Saturn).

In the UK we have Sun in Capricorn opposite MC, but there is no Pluto involvement, so you do not see this tension between dictatorship and democracy. With Sun and MC square to Uranus Rising, you get plenty of eccentrics/individuals in the Houses of Parliament, and no shortage of opposition to whatever government is in power. You also get the idiosyncratic Englishman (Uranus Rising) who is at the same time attached to the traditional way of doing things (Sun in Capricorn). Presidential-style leaders like Blair or Thatcher are the exception, and with Brown we see a reversion to type.

I think this conflict between dictatorship and democracy is understandable. People want their say (democracy), yet they also want to be led, they want some brilliant person leading to whose judgement they can defer, and which makes them feel secure. It’s like we need gods, hence the cult of celebrity and the power of untested (and therefore unstained) demagogues like Barack Obama (who may become an OK President, but that’s not the point.)

The conflict is also present in the US Sibly chart, where you have Moon in Aquarius - the people (Moon) want their say, want equality (Aquarius); and there is the desire for civilisation and fairness of MC and Saturn in Libra. Yet there is also Sun conjunct Jupiter in Cancer square to Saturn: the leader will tend to be narrowly tribal/nationalistic (Cancer) and a father to the nation (Saturn) in not the most healthy sort of way (square).


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I think that the challenges in a country’s chart point not to a steady accumulation of experience and wisdom – collectives don’t tend to work that way – but to lessons that need to be learned over and over again until the country has its next incarnation. In the case of the USA, I think that its Sun square to Saturn means it needs to learn over and over again not have blind faith in the President. In a normal country, this tendency would lead to dictatorships, but in the USA the institutions of government were so well set up in the 18th century that this has never happened.

There was plenty of blind faith in George W Bush, and it has resulted in an America that has been weakened economically and weakened in its place in the world. There is now a longing for change, but a big part of that has become blind faith in a leader from the other end of the political spectrum (which is a narrow band in the USA), Barack Obama. Of course not everyone is like this, and no-one who is could admit to it. But this desire to put political leaders on pedestals cuts across party lines and is one of America’s ongoing character challenges. The other side of putting leaders on pedestals is the savagery with which they are subsequently pulled down, and this also seems characteristic of America. JFK got out while the going was good!

Back to Pakistan. This year’s return to democracy is already disintegrating in a farcical way. In the elections earlier this year, the PPP (the Bhutto’s party) became the senior partner in a governing coalition with the Pakistan Muslim League (N). A few weeks ago Musharraf was threatened with impeachment unless he resigned as President, which he has since done. Then a few days ago the PML announced it was pulling out of the coalition government because the PPP was reneging on a promise to re-instate various judges that Musharraf had sacked. The reason the PPP is going back on this is because the judges might then prosecute Benazir Bhutto’s widower, who is prominent in the government, on various long-standing corruption charges. (Bhutto and her husband Asif Ali Zardari are alleged to have siphoned off over a billion dollars for themselves while she was Prime Minister. There is plenty of documentation in other countries that supports these allegations.)

So the government is falling apart. Meanwhile, a number of newspapers recently carried articles about various doctor’s assessments of the mental health of Asif Ali Zardari, in relation to his fitness to stand trial. A number of them seriously questioned his mental health: this guy is co-chairman of the ruling party in Pakistan, a country that has nuclear weapons, and in which militant Islam is on the rise. He is co-chairman only because of the threat of corruption charges: once those are out of the way, the idea is to make him, as a Bhutto, President.

Having had a Progressed New Moon earlier this year, Pakistan is entering on a new 29 year phase in its history. Pluto is opposing natal Mars all this year and next, and natal Mars is also conjunct natal Uranus. So the potential for violence is high (this transit began late last year with the assassination of Benazir Bhutto). The natal Sun-Pluto conjunction is also conjunct natal Saturn and square to natal angular Jupiter. So we are seeing an unfoldment of a potential in the chart, the threat to the leadership (Sun) from the power (Pluto) of traditional (Saturn) religion (Jupiter) in an extreme form (Pluto). With natal Jupiter conjunct Descendant, Pakistan has become an exporter of extremist Islam (activated by Neptune in the last few years). It has become quite common for young Muslims from the UK to go and train in the Pakistani madrasas.


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Saturday, August 23, 2008

Russia

On Aug 8 Russian troops moved into Georgia, as a response to Georgia’s military action against its own break-away region of South Ossetia. Over 2 weeks later there are still Russian troops in Georgia as ‘peacekeepers’, and the Russian government seems to have every intention of keeping them there long-term. There has been nothing that Georgia can do, and no possibility of military intervention by the West. Russia, it seems, can do what it wants with its former satellites.

This action has sent a chill through the West, and investors have been withdrawing assets from Russia at a rate not seen since the collapse of the rouble in 1998. The Russian invasion of Georgia was an historic moment, possibly marking the beginning of a new Cold War. Russia is going its own way, and will not hesitate to take military action to achieve its ends.

During the Russian Revolution of 1917, the country let go of its rulership of its satellite countries. As Stalin’s power grew, the re-conquest of the newly independent countries was engineered. He re-created the Russian Empire. The recent invasion of Georgia seems to mark the beginning of another attempt by Russia to reclaim its old Czarist Empire, having lost it for a second time when Communism collapsed at the start of the 1990s.

These events have got me thinking about the chart for Russia. Lynn wrote a piece last year advocating the chart for 12 June 1990, when the Russian parliament declared the sovereignty of the Russian Federative Republic within the USSR. And Nancy recently wrote a piece, using this chart to describe Russia’s current and future actions.

What I can’t get over in this chart is the unaspected Sun in Gemini, conjunct Gemini MC. I use the Sun to describe the kind of leader you get, the MC to describe the institution of government and the country’s standing in the world. These 2 points together are too significant to ignore, and try as I might I cannot see the Russian leadership as unaspected Sun in Gemini. If it was Italy, I could easily see it. They have a new government most years, and seem quite happy to elect and re-elect a corrupt showman like Silvio Berlusconi who owns most of the country's TV stations (also Gemini!) That is the type of government you would see. Russia is not this at all. It has its dark side, but not in a Gemini way, because it is completely up front about it, it does not see anything wrong with it: this is Pluto/Scorpio territory.

What the 12 June chart does describe was the unstable nature of Russia’s declaration of sovereignty. Russia did not actually have full legal independence from the USSR at this point, and indeed there was an attempted coup by the old guard a year later.

The defining event that created the modern Russia was on 19 Aug 1991 when Boris Yeltsin stood on a tank outside the Russian parliament (the White House) and proclaimed resistance to the attempted coup. This moment was hugely symbolic and significant. The coup rapidly fell apart, and within a short space of time Yeltsin was President of a Russia that was entirely free of the old Communist power.

His proclamation of resistance to the coup was in effect a proclamation of the existence, or the beginning of the existence, of the new and entirely sovereign Russia.

The exact time is uncertain, but 11am would seem to be not too far off.


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What we have in this chart is 10th House Sun conjunct Jupiter in Leo, square to 1st House Pluto in Scorpio. Yes! Now we are in business.

There have effectively been 2 Presidents since 1991, Yeltsin and then Putin. (Medvedev, elected in March, is Putin’s puppet, there for 4 years until Putin can legally be President again: Sun square Pluto manoeuvring!) Both have been like the King of Russia, a Leo quality. Yeltsin was Leo at its most excessive and chaotic. Putin has become the supreme strongman who tolerates no opposition and has dragged Russia out of its chaos and humiliation, and back to the country we used to know.

This is a country that is expansionist (Sun conjunct Jupiter in the 10th) and ruthless about the use of power (1st House Pluto in Scorpio). There is no pretence here. America pretends to be promoting democracy and free trade as a way of extending its own power in the world. Russia just moves in the military. With Russia, you know exactly what you are dealing with, and you are right to quake if you find yourself on the wrong side of this regime, whether at home or abroad. If abroad, they will send agents to kill you, or they will invade your country. If at home, they will take away all your wealth and put you in prison on trumped up charges. Poland was threatened by Russia recently with a nuclear strike for agreeing to an American missile shield.

In a way the game is very straightforward, but it also played with Scorpio cunning. Russia chose its moment to invade Georgia, and it was a complete triumph for them. Step by step, Putin has built up Russian power over the last 8 years, and step by step they will move in on their old satellite countries in the coming years. They will increasingly support the countries in the Middle East, like Iran and Syria, that America opposes. Putin is very sure footed in his exercise of power, both in gaining it for himself and hanging onto it, and doing the same for Russia. He will go down in history as one of its great leaders. He is very Plutonic/Scorpionic himself, having Pluto on the Midheaven conjunct his South Node (and conjunct the Russian Sun), Scorpio Asc and Moon in Scorpio's House.


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The people are hugely behind Putin, behind their King, and we can see this in Russia's Chart in the trine from the Moon (the people) in Sag to the Sun in Leo. They believe (Sag) in their King (Leo). They are a religious people (Sag), though the government would not be afraid to use the military against them (Moon square Mars). Their religious, mystical side is also expressed by North Node conjunct Neptune, and the sign of Capricorn indicates the traditional forms, particularly the Eastern Orthodox Church, that we find in Russia.

This new Russia has an unaspected Saturn in Aquarius conjunct Aquarius IC. Saturn describes our ability to work and give shape to our life. Despite its increasing power and wealth, Russia remains chaotic and criminal, and is only gaining wealth due to the lucky accident of having vast oil and gas reserves (Pluto conjunct second house cusp: underground riches). Modern Russia has its origins in a struggle for freedom and independence, which is Aquarius IC.

Despite the brutal nature of its game, Russia has a Libra Ascendant, suggesting that it is open to negotiation and diplomacy. (Putin is also a Libran.) Given the gangster-like nature of Russia, we are probably talking about ‘Reason’ in the way that the Godfather used it, and which has its own brutal logic.

The Aries Descendant describes Russia’s straightforward aggressive, even military, response to its enemies.

Russia was born under the Uranus-Neptune conjunction of the 1990s, and in the 1991 chart I am using, this chart is conjunct the North Node. So this points to its destiny as a country, which you could say is to maintain its own individuality (Uranus) while being part of the global community (Neptune). We have recently had a Neptune-Node conjunction (opposite the Russian Sun), and Russia’s response has been Neptune at its worst: the dissolving of its boundaries with Georgia through military action.

Russia has Mars at 21 Virgo, closely square the American Mars at 21 Gemini, which comes as no surprise. The 2 countries are destined to be rivals, just like the US and Iran, who also have squaring Mars. Russia invaded Georgia 2 days after a Mars return, with Uranus opposing. It was a sudden and surprising event (Uranus) that revealed more fully the nature of Russian military ambitions (Mars return). And it was very precisely aimed (Virgo), unlike the US, which has Mars square Neptune, and entered Iraq without thinking it through. Russia’s Progressed Moon is currently conjoining her natal MC, describing the change (Moon) brought about in Russia’s standing in the world (MC).

Putin became acting President in Dec 1999, and then elected in May 2000. This was under a transiting conjunction of Neptune to Russia’s Saturn/IC. From Russia’s point of view, he brought new inspiration (Neptune) to the country after the despair (also Neptune) of the Yeltsin years, and he activated the country’s Saturn, getting it to start pulling itself together again. In the years following Putin’s election, Pluto conjoined the Russian Moon at 19 Sagittarius, reflecting the renewed belief (Sag) in the country that the Russian people (Moon) came to feel.

Since then Neptune has continued to pass through Russia’s 4th House (homeland, territory). In 2005 Neptune squared natal Pluto and is now opposing natal Sun-Jupiter. This has brought a new activation. Firstly, you can see Putin manoeuvring himself into being effectively President (Sun) for life. And you can also see the dissolution of boundaries (Neptune) around the homeland (4th House) starting to occur – which is a nice way of saying that a process of re-absorbing its old satellites, though force if necessary, has begun, just like in the early days of the Communist regime (again under a Neptune-Sun transit! The Sun of the Communist regime was at 16 Scorpio, conjunct the Pluto of modern Russia, which is why Russia’s present actions remind us of the old regime.)

Neptune will be opposing Russia’s Sun for a year or two yet, so I expect this process of moving in on the old satellites to continue: what we have seen in Georgia is just a start. Russia will not do anything reckless, but it will be bold, and will not take any steps backwards, because it is not in its nature. Those ‘peacekeepers’ will be there for a long time! As Neptune finally moves away from opposing the Russian Sun, there will be a Progressed New Moon (in 2011), the beginning of a whole new 29 year phase: a reborn Russia, once more a major power with, quite possibly, much of its old Empire back.

To an outsider, what seems to characterise Russia more than anything is the pursuit of power: first of all, a desire by the government for complete control within the country, and now for power on the world stage. This seems to come second to the pursuit of wealth, which for many European countries has for decades been their main pursuit, sheltering under the protection of American power. So it is a different motivation to what we in Europe are used to.

But people or countries are not so much into power for no reason. It is interesting that Pluto is connected with both power and the survival urge, as if to say that they are connected. And in Russia Pluto is strong, being in its own sign of Scorpio, in the first House, and (widely) square to the Sun. For such a country, not having an eminent place in the world (Sun in 10th House Leo) would feel like not existing (square to Pluto.) Russia has to become a superpower again or it will feel continually humiliated. Russia was deeply humiliated by what happened to it in the 1990s, and fortunately it was not at the hands of an aggressor, or there would be a price to pay. A Pisces can take humiliation. Leo-Scorpio you humiliate at your peril. (It is therefore unlikely that Hillary Clinton will ever forgive Barack Obama for defeating her.) The square from the Sun to Pluto suggests an imbalance, a neurosis in Russia's power seeking, that however much power she has, it will never seem enough.

I was sent an interesting article from the Asia Times which describes Russia’s motivation as being that of survival:

"Russia is fighting for its survival, against a catastrophic decline in population and the likelihood of a Muslim majority by mid-century. The Russian Federation's scarcest resource is people. It cannot ignore the 22 million Russians stranded outside its borders after the 1991 collapse of the Soviet Union, nor, for that matter, small but loyal ethnicities such as the Ossetians. Strategic encirclement, in Russian eyes, prefigures the ethnic disintegration of Russia."

The writer continues on the subject of Russian versus American strategy:

"Again, the Russians misjudge American stupidity… Think of it this way: Russia is playing chess, while the Americans are playing Monopoly. What Americans understand by "war games" is exactly what occurs on the board of the Parker Brothers' pastime. The board game Monopoly is won by placing as many hotels as possible on squares of the playing board. Substitute military bases, and you have the sum of American strategic thinking.

America's idea of winning a strategic game is to accumulate the most chips on the board: bases in Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, a pipeline in Georgia, a "moderate Muslim" government with a big North Atlantic Treaty Organization base in Kosovo, missile installations in Poland and the Czech Republic, and so forth. But this is not a strategy; it is only a game score.

Chess players think in terms of interaction of pieces: everything on the periphery combines to control the center of the board and prepare an eventual attack against the opponent's king. The Russians simply cannot absorb the fact that America has no strategic intentions: it simply adds up the value of the individual pieces on the board. It is as stupid as that. But there is another difference: the Americans are playing chess for career and perceived advantage. Russia is playing for its life, like Ingmar Bergman's crusader in The Seventh Seal."

As I said earlier, we can see this difference in the Russian and American Mars. Russia has Mars in Virgo, which is analytical and precise, and it is square to the Moon, so it can be ruthless, it can put the needs of its people (Moon) to one side. America has Mars square to Neptune, so its military thinking is not precise and strategic, but prone to delusion, as well as idealism. Mars is trine to the Moon, so it takes its people more into account, the US is not happy with American body-bags.

This is also why Russia may get away with gradually re-conquering its former satellites. Nowadays, the psychological impact of asymmetrical warfare is a force to be reckoned with – if you are a liberal democracy. Asymmetrical warfare is another word for what we call terrorism, where one side is much stronger than the other, so the minority engages in acts such as suicide bombing that have a big psychological impact on the majority population, and can eventually wear it down. This was the IRA’s tactic in the UK, and it was ultimately successful: the government was forced to negotiate.

So you could easily imagine this happening in Russia’s satellite countries as she attempts to control them. Except that Russia is only just about a democracy, and certainly not a liberal one. Remember Chechnya? Chechnya is a region of Russia that for years, during the 1990s, engaged in terrorist acts in attempt to gain independence. Eventually Moscow installed a government favourable to itself, and has been ruthless enough with the opposition – torture occurs as a matter of course if you are detained – to re-assert control. So Russia shouldn’t have too much problem controlling its satellites, and the recent events in Georgia will have emboldened her.

The Lunar Eclipse of 17 Aug, set for Moscow, was very powerful.

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The Sun-Moon opposition closely aligns with the natal Russian Sun. And the chart itself has Pluto on the Descendant - power (Pluto) over enemies; Jupiter in the 7th (success with enemies); and North Node conjunct MC, suggesting a time of great significance (Node) for Russia's place in the world (MC). So if the Georgian President had looked at this chart before he took his gamble with South Ossetia, he might have had second thoughts!


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Thursday, August 21, 2008

Pluto and the Technological Singularity

In a personal chart, an outer planet can effect permanent change. This is because as individuals we have the capacity to learn from our experience. Not so with mundane charts i.e. for countries and other collectives. As has been said, what we learn from history is that collectively we don’t learn from history. At least, not very much, and it’s soon forgotten.

The good side of this is that when e.g. Pluto passes through Sagittarius, and you get an outbreak of religious fanaticism, you know that it won’t last forever. Similarly with Pluto in Capricorn. We may end up being spied on by the government more than we’d like, but again it won’t last forever.

Actually so far I’m not too bothered about being spied on because I’m not planning on breaking the law. It’s still better than living in a village where everyone knows everyone else’s business and their history. I think that however many CCTV cameras there are around, and however many government agencies have my medical records etc, it’s better by far than living in said small village. That is my perspective on the surveillance society!

Another feature of Pluto in Capricorn will, I think, be moves towards a world economy based more on sustainability rather than endless growth. This is going to happen because resources are dwindling relative to demand. I think this will be a lot healthier. But I don’t doubt that if we manage to invent our way out of this predicament, greed and excess will return (another name for an economy based on endless growth.)

Speaking of inventions, Pluto’s passage through Aquarius from 2023 could bring new power (Pluto) to science (Aquarius). We will, of course, also be faced collectively with the shadow side of science. This is a big subject, and perhaps a bit premature! But one intriguing possibility is that Pluto in Aquarius will usher in the ‘technological singularity.’

No, I didn’t know what that meant either until a few weeks ago. A singularity is a point beyond which it becomes impossible to predict what will happen, like the edge of a black hole, or where a mathematical curve shoots off to infinity.

So the technological singularity is a point where technological progress has accelerated to such a degree that the ordinary methods of extrapolating into the future become too limited to be useful. Certainly for at least the last hundred years the rate of progress has been accelerating, and it is becoming harder and harder to keep up with the new inventions. Who, just a couple of years before it happened, could have predicted the internet and all that rapidly came with it?
So you could argue that we are already entering an age where the future is becoming harder to predict due to the accelerating pace of technological change. The technological singularity is just a logical extension of this.

Even more intriguing is the idea of a technological singularity brought about by developments in artificial intelligence to the point where you have machines that are in certain respects more intelligent than we are, and therefore able to initiate technological advances more effectively than we can. You really do get a singularity then, a whole paradigm shift where no prediction at all is possible. Even if these machines were only slightly more intelligent than us, “they could improve their own designs in ways unforeseen by their designers, and thus recursively augment themselves into far greater intelligences. The first such improvements might be small, but as the machine became more intelligent it would become better at becoming more intelligent, which could lead to an exponential and quite sudden growth in intelligence.” (Wiki)

This then leads to sci-fi scenarios such as the robots trying to take over.

In Wiki we also read: "Berglas (2008) notes that computer speech recognition is approaching human capabilities, and that this capability seems to require 0.01% of the volume of the brain. This analogy suggests that modern computer hardware is within a few orders of magnitude as powerful as the human brain."

So in 15 years time, as Pluto enters Aquarius, I expect some of these themes to start moving from the realms of science fiction and into reality.


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Monday, August 18, 2008

A Critique of the Horse's Mouth

In my last post I quoted at length from Tenzin Palmo, the Englishwoman who spent 12 years in a cave on her own in the Himalayas, meditating within the Tibetan Buddhist tradition. Her last 3 years were entirely solitary. It’s provided quite a lot of food for thought. On the one hand I have a lot of admiration for what she did, and the insight she gained. Much of what she says corresponds to what you can read in books, but there’s a flavour to it that shows she’s talking from experience, and that’s what I liked, and why I quoted from it.

I spent 18 years as a practising Buddhist myself in a kind of full-time way – that era ended 10 years ago – and I’m still sifting through it. I was never much of a meditator. Since then I’ve lived a much more ordinary kind of life, as well as involving myself in different non-ordinary things such as astrology! This has helped give me perspective, but it’s still work in progress.

There are certain things I love about Buddhism. Its philosophy of emptiness makes complete sense. It is saying that everything is part of an interconnected flux in which there are no separate ‘things’. That includes the sense of ‘I’ – hence the famous ‘no-self’ doctrine.

The sense of ‘I’ is a good place to start. It certainly seems very solid and real, and it locates us experientially at the centre of the universe, to which we reach out and relate. But that sense of ‘I’ is usually based on identifying with what we think and feel – that is what makes us ‘us’. What a lot of people don’t realise is that you don’t have to identify with, and act on, what you are feeling. We have a choice. If you are angry with someone, you don’t have to torment yourself with it, the mind circling endlessly as it tries to justify the feeling of anger. Nor do you have to go into therapy and try and find the root cause of it (though that can have its place.) We can make the decision to stand back and observe the feeling. This is a deeply transformational act.

This principle applies to all sorts of limiting, painful emotions which we all experience every day. And it is a different self that does the observing. This new self is not rigid and protective, for there is nothing to protect anymore. It is spacious. You no longer need take events so personally. You are fully present and aware, fully emotionally responsive to others, fully connected in a way you never were before, because you’re no longer seeing the world through the veil of your own reactions to it. You are, in other words, more aware of the interconnected flux to which in reality we all belong.

OK, fine words, and I sometimes manage a bit of it. But at the same time, I think it describes the fundamental inner act that makes us conscious beings, and that lies at the root of all spiritualities and religions, whatever the cosmologies and dogmas they surround it with.

So ‘emptiness’ (sunyata) can sound like an abstruse philosophical doctrine. But actually it’s immediate and practical. And that is why I like it so much. It has both a metaphysical dimension and a practical dimension, and they both make sense. And it is about a different kind of fullness.

As an astrologer, I respond to symbols, they take me more deeply into an intuitive apprehension of myself, other people and world events. And Buddhism (like any religion worth its salt) has this aspect. Buddhism has figures that are not ‘God’, that are not about obedience, that embody the deeper patternings within the human mind, the ‘archetypes’. These figures have accumulated significance and power over the centuries as generations of practitioners have successively contemplated them. Just like the planets, and the gods behind them, in astrology.

When I write about Pluto, Lord of the Underworld, he often gives me his blessing by turning up in the room behind me. Something of him comes closer to me, he starts to become, in a way, part of me. And it’s the same with the Buddhist archetypal figures when you contemplate them, or when you call upon them to help in a practical situation. One such figure is Vajrasattva, who embodies who you are when all the dross is out of the way, when you remember who you are and why you’re here (the North Node?) He is our 'original face', the fullness that is left when the infatuation with being a ‘somebody’, with ‘achievement’, recedes. I call on him when I need to open up the gap in my experience, when I’m in the grip of some painful emotion that is distorting my equanimity and steady judgement. I only recently began to look at him again, and after reciting his mantra, or sound equivalent, for a while, I began to have these words go through my head: “I am a brilliant human being!” Well we all are underneath it all, and this is what he was pointing me to.

Another figure is Avalokitesvara, in his form with 1000 arms, each holding a different implement. He embodies compassion, and the 1000 arms symbolise the different gifts, the different vocations that we all have that both nourish us and that one way or another impact positively on others. This is something I have come to believe in strongly, that life is about discovering the particular gifts that you have and using them. This is what I find a lot of astrological readings are about: helping people identify, and have courage in, their own gifts. Often people come to me at the point where they know what they want to do, but they are afraid they’ll be no good at it, afraid they’ll look stupid in the eyes of others. But that is a kind of initiatory fire that many of us have to go through, it often seems to be part of the process.

So this is kind of nudging me on to my points of disagreement with Buddhism, at least as it has come down to us. And it starts with the idea of the historical Buddha as a perfect human being. Was there something special about the period 2-2500 years ago when these ‘perfect’ people, like Christ and the Buddha, appeared? Anyone who called themselves perfect, or allowed themselves to be called perfect, would nowadays be rightly laughed out of court. I’ve never met anyone who is anywhere near ‘perfect’, and I’ve been around long enough to have confidence in my experience. There are people with more insight than most, yes, and such people can be pretty helpful. And I reckon it's the same now as it was then.

And yet Buddhism, for an orthodox Buddhist of any school, is rooted in the faith that the historical Buddha, about whom we actually know very little, was inwardly perfect (or ‘Enlightened’). The orthodox Buddhist then bases his or her life around the aspiration to replicate that perfection for themselves. Tenzin Palmo is one of these people, and very upfront about it. And so all the practices, effective and inspiring as they may be, take place in what seems to me to be this inauthentic context, a context that ultimately disempowers people. Because realistically, which of us has ever encountered perfection? It's a nice ideal, but is it something you can realistically feel is possible for you? Or for anyone? It's not part of being human.

Who knows what is the destiny of human consciousness? Who really knows what happens after we die? These are great imponderables and I, for one, am not looking for answers. The important thing is to try to be real while we are here, and the Buddhist tradition at its best (e.g. Dzogchen) has a firm grasp on this. But it is also a religious tradition which has inevitably accumulated all sorts of other dross on the way, 2500 years worth.

There is also the tradition of renunciation as providing the most effective conditions for spiritual progress, if you are up to it. This attitude comes across very clearly with Tenzin Palmo. I’m bothering to criticise her because I think she has some real attainments, and I admire her 12 years in the cave. You also get this in Christianity, where the monks and nuns and celibate priests are the ‘real’ practitioners.

Now I have no problem with people going off and meditating in caves for periods of their lives. For the right people at the right time in their lives, this can be very appropriate. In my experience most people are not talented meditators, including myself. It is a talent like any other, even though a certain amount of meditation seems to help most people. Yet this particular talent has been raised above all others as a sort of royal road to ‘perfection’ (how does one begin to untangle this one?)

If you are going to head off to a cave, or its equivalent, for an extended period, you’d better make sure you’re happy doing without the pleasures and involvements of ordinary life, that the pleasure and sense of meaning that a contemplative life gives you is commensurate. It’s a purely pragmatic decision. For, as any half-educated Buddhist knows, sense pleasures and personal relationships are in no sense harmful in themselves. It is how we deal with them that counts, and they can indeed be transformative. For most of us they are the stuff of life, they give it meaning, they are the charnel ground where we encounter ourselves at our best and at our worst.

But no. The renunciates, however ‘encouraging’ they are about the possibilities of progress in ‘worldly’ life, they still put it down, subtly or unsubtly, as second best. Renunciation for them is not just a pragmatic decision, it is a philosophy. And this is despite basic Buddhist teachings to the contrary, such as the fetter of seeing particular practices as ends in themselves, rather than as a means to an end. Tenzin Palmo has this philosophy (“relationships, let’s face it, can be pretty distracting”.) And it was there in the Buddhist set-up I used to be around, where the teacher encouraged celibacy as a superior path (while not being able to keep to it himself); you’d consequently get these poor people, usually young, wearing it as a badge of honour, when you knew they’d love nothing better than to get their ends away.

There are strengths and pitfalls to both ordinary life and to the contemplative life, and I think it is invidious to start implying one is better than the other: it creates inflation in monks and nuns, and it discourages people living ordinary lives. (In religions you get unwritten rules, and I have encountered a teacher who taught equivalence between ordinary and renunciative life, but in practice gave seniority to the more renunciate.) Broadly speaking, you could say that the strength of a contemplative life is depth of experience, and the pitfall is narrowness and naivety. Tenzin Palmo admitted that in some ways she got very dry during her 12 years in the cave, and immersed herself in music and literature when she came out. She described it as a rupture that needed healing. The pitfall of ordinary life, of course, is that so much is going on that we can forget about what gives a deeper sense of meaning. Its strength is that there is an ongoing challenge from the environment not to react in habitual ways, to look with fresh eyes, and when we succeeed we know it is for real, for it has been tested.

I could go on. There is the obvious issue of authority, around which any organised religion is to a large extent based. Adherents can find it very difficult to see, let alone admit to their compromise with authority, and the payback involved. It is substantially present (though of course not universal) in organised Buddhism just like anywhere else. But it did take me aback with Tenzin Palmo, for as far as I could see she had very much gone her own way, and gone where others would not have gone, in the context of a healthy and heartfelt relationship with her own teacher. So far so good. But her first instinct on deciding how to benefit others from what she had done was to think in terms of founding a nunnery where the young women would intensively study the relevant Buddhist texts in the original Tibetan, prior to heading off and becoming yoginis in their own right. Just like she did. Once it was set up, Tenzin Palmo would leave and resume her solitary meditational lifestyle. This struck me as naïve.

It is clear from her website that she is pretty much creating for women a copy of the monastic training for men that already exists. The women are joining as young as 15 years old, many with hardly any education, and subject to this narrow and intensive full-time training for years. No doubt they will benefit in some ways. But many of them will at the same time be subsumed by this system, they will be overawed by the teachers and their grand titles and the weight of tradition. In other words, authority. This is not what people need, and Tenzin Palmo seems as much as anything to be fighting a political battle to achieve equal status for women, at the expense of the women themselves.

It is clear to me that to this extent she doesn’t understand people’s real needs, the conditions they need to develop, despite the real insight she has gained through meditation, and the genuine goodwill she has towards people. And this is often characteristic of organised religion: there is ‘faith’ in its methods that blinds the teacher to what people actually need. You get this with the paedophile scandal in the Catholic Church. It’s partly caused by the arrested development of the priests, who as teenagers are shunted off to single-sex seminaries and told that sex is bad. The Pope has apologised on behalf of the Church for the scandal (in which he had been complicit), but seems unable to question the methods that have brought it about in the first place.

In the East, authority has always lain with the monks, who are organised hierarchically. This system is in its own way being replicated in the West, where you get these large Buddhist organisations held together by the authority of the teachers and senior disciples. And what the followers experience as 'faith' is often the hidden surrender of their own independence. Faith is a mixed thing: it is both healthy and necessary, but other more needy emotions also tend to jump on the bandwagon, and this is what makes it to that extent blind and resistant to a critical awareness of the tradition and of the teachers.

It’s a mess, and I accept that for some people finding their way out of this mess is part of their path; and for others who are dysfunctional (you get a high percentage in religious groups) the organisation and hierarchy provide a psychological security that enables them to cope.

(The astrological world is not immune from this. What I found at conferences was that you would get an over-emphasis on hierarchy, a clear division between 'names' and everyone else, that you could even spot in the dining-room. And the 'names' would award each other prizes (yes really!), and they would take it in turns to deliver the Dead Name Memorial Lecture. You could also spot the 'wannabe names'. I found this class-ridden context distasteful and disempowering. Which I why I like the blogosphere, because it is everything the self-styled 'establishment' is not!)

This brings me back to the 1000 armed Avalokitesvara and what I think the real purpose of a religious/spiritual grouping needs to be: it needs to be an informal network that helps people unfold their individual gifts and talents, for that is where their passion lies and their sense of purpose in being alive. The Buddhist practices and philosophy can be a very useful adjunct to this. But if, as in Tenzin Palmo's nunnery, you are a young person and all your time is taken up with philosophical and meditative training, and learning arcane languages and rituals, or working for the good of the organisation, and you are surrounded by people learning and doing more or less the same things, then where is the room for the individual and his/her talents? The words brain and wash come to mind. You end up with people who are sincere and well-meaning, but who lack the confidence to progress in the world, and substitute for this an inflated sense of themselves as ‘spiritual’ beings, unlike the rest of us who are immersed in the ‘mundane’ and doomed to endless rebirth.

And that’s another thing: Buddhism needs to ditch the notion that you find in the Tibetan Book of the Dead, that after we die we eventually flee back to a human body because we cannot handle naked reality. There is a certain truth in that, but it gives entirely the wrong emphasis. It is part of a Buddhist mindset that says earthly existence is basically a trap we need to transcend (Tenzin Palmo's view). I do not have a problem being embodied, and my aspiration is to feel entirely happy about being here on this beautiful earth before I die. And I’m here because there are things for me to do, and things to be learned, rather than because I am terrified of ultimate reality, or because I’m not ‘Enlightened’. I think it’s Buddhist scaremongering, just like the Tibetans do with their endless descriptions of hell (Tenzin Palmo agrees with me on that one), in a misguided attempt to get people to engage in spiritual practice. The Roman Catholic Church does the same thing.

Once when Tenzin Palmo was with her teacher, Kamtrul Rimpoche, she asked him a question. He replied well this is what the book says, and this is what I say. I liked that, the ability to function within a tradition without feeling beholden to it. Like any old tradition, Buddhism is like this pile of dross with the odd nugget of gold in it. And it’s only ever going to be a free-spirited minority, who have maybe been burnt by taking the dross too seriously, who will be able to be discerning. Like any religion.

I'm away till Friday, so I will join in the comment scrum at that point!


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Saturday, August 16, 2008

From the Horse's Mouth

I finished reading Cave in the Snow a few days ago, the story of the Englishwoman Tenzin Palmo, who spent 12 years (1976-88) 13,000 foot up a mountain in the Himalayas, meditating. She had first trained for many years within the Kargyu school of Tibetan Buddhism. She was inspired by its founder, Milarepa, who spent decades in solitary meditation. Part of her mission was to prove that women also could do this.

In the chapter called ‘Yogini’ she reluctantly discusses some of her inner experiences during that time. As she says: “Frankly, I don’t like discussing it. It’s like your sexual experiences. Some people like talking about them, others don’t. Personally I find it terribly intimate.” The author, Vicki Mackenzie, had to press her.

“Of course, when you do prolonged retreats you are going to have experiences of great intensity – times when your body completely melts away, or when you feel the body is flying. You get states of incredible awareness and clarity when everything becomes very vivid.”

There were visions too, but as she says: “The whole point is not to get visions but realisations. And realisations are quite bare. They are not accompanied by lights and music. We’re trying to see things as they really are. A realisation is non-conceptual. It’s not a product of the thinking process or the emotions – unlike visions which come from that level. A realisation is the white transparent light at the centre of the prism, not the rainbow colours around it.”

“There are states of incredible bliss. Bliss is the fuel of retreat. You can’t do any long-term practice seriously unless there is inner joy. Because the joy and enthusiasm is what carries you along. It’s like anything, if you don’t really like it you will have this inner resistance and everything is going to be very slow. That is why the Buddha named Joy as a main factor on the path.

The only problem with bliss is that because it arouses such enormous pleasure, beyond anything on a worldly level, including sexual bliss, people cling to it and really want it and then it becomes another obstacle.

Once when I was with the Togdens [an elite group of yogis, trained from a very young age] there were two monks who were training to be yogis. One day they were standing up outside shaking a blanket and they were so blissed out they could hardly stand up. You could actually feel these waves of bliss hitting you. The Togdens turned to me and said: “You know, when you start, this is what happens. You get completely overwhelmed by bliss and you don’t know what to do. After a while you learn how to control it and bring it down to manageable levels.” And it’s true. When you meet more mature practitioners they’re not completely speechless with all this great bliss, because they’ve learnt how to deal with it. And of course they see into its empty nature. You see, bliss in itself is useless. It’s only useful when it’s used as a state of mind for understanding Emptiness – when that blissful mind is able to look into its own nature. Otherwise it is just another subject of Samsara [mundane, conditioned existence]. You can understand emptiness on one level but to understand it on a very subtle level requires this complement of bliss. The blissful mind is a very subtle mind and that kind of mind looking at Emptiness is a very different thing from the gross mind looking at emptiness. And that is why one cultivates bliss.

You go through bliss. It marks just a stage on the journey. The ultimate goal is to realise the nature of the mind. The nature of the mind is unconditioned, non-dual consciousness. It is Emptiness and bliss. It is the state of Knowing without the Knower. And when it is realised it isn’t very dramatic at all. It’s like waking up for the first time – surfacing out of a dream and then realising you have been dreaming. That is shy the sages talk about all things being an illusion. Our normal way of being is muffled – it’s not vivid. It’s like breathing in stale air. Waking up is not sensational. It’s ordinary. But it’s extremely real.

At first you get just a glimpse of it. That is actually only the beginning of the path. People often think when they get that glimpse it is the whole thing, that they’ve reached the goal. Once you begin to see the nature of the mind then you can begin to meditate. Then after that you have to stabilize it until the nature of the mind becomes more and more familiar. And when that is done you integrate it into everyday life.”

There was the occasion one spring when the thaw of the winter snows had begun and her cave was being systematically flooded. “The walls and the floor were getting wetter and wetter and for some reason I was also not very well. I started to feel very down. Then I thought: “Why are you still looking for happiness in Samsara? And my mind just changed around. It was like: That’s right – Samsara is Dukkha [the fundamental unsatisfactory nature of life.] It’s OK that it’s snowing. It’s OK that I’m sick because that is the nature of Samsara. There’s nothing to worry about. If it goes well that’s nice. If it doesn’t go well that’s also nice. It doesn’t make any difference. Although it sounds very elementary, at the time it was a real breakthrough. Since then I have never really cared about external circumstances. In that way the cave was a great teaching because it was not too perfect.”

She remained deliberately vague about the precise nature of the practices she was doing. “I was doing very old traditional practices ascribed to the Buddha himself. They involve a lot of visualisation and internal yogic practices. Basically, you use the creative imaginative faculty of the mind to transform everything, both internally and externally. The creative imagination in itself is an incredibly powerful force. If you channel it in the right way it can reach very deep levels of mind which can’t be accessed through verbal means or mere analysis. This is because on a very deep level we think in pictures. If you are using pictures which have arisen in an Enlightened mind, somehow that unlocks very deep levels in our own minds.”

In the end, had it all been worth it?

“It’s not what you gain but what you lose. It’s like unpeeling the layers of an onion, that’s what you have to do. My quest was to understand what perfection meant. Now, I realise that on one level we have never moved away from it. It is only our deluded perception which prevents our seeing what we already have. The more you realise, the more you realise there is nothing to realise. The idea that there’s somewhere we have got to get to, and something we have to attain, is our basic delusion. Who is there to attain it anyway?”

Back in the world again, had there been a transformation?

“There is a kind of inner freedom which I don’t think I had when I started – an inner peace and clarity. I think it came from having to be self-sufficient, having nothing or no-one to turn to whatever happened. Also while I was in retreat everything became dreamlike, just as the Buddha described. One could see the illusory nature of everything going on around one – because one was not in the middle of it. And then when you come out you see that people are so caught up in their life – we identify so totally with what we’ve created. We believe in it so completely. That’s why we suffer – because there’s no space for us. Now I notice there is an inner distance towards whatever occurs, whether what’s occurring is outwards or inwards. Sometimes, it feels like being in an empty house with all the doors and windows wide open and the wind just blowing through without anything obstructing it. Sometimes one gets caught up again, but now one knows that one is caught up again.

It’s not a cold emptiness, it’s a warm spaciousness. It means that one is no longer involved in one’s ephemeral emotions. One sees how people cause so much of their own suffering just because they think that without having these strong emotions they’re not real people.

Why does one go into retreat? One goes into a retreat to understand who one really is and what the situation truly is. When one begins to understand oneself then one can truly understand others because we are all interrelated. It is very difficult to understand others while one is still caught up in the turmoil of one’s emotional involvement – because we’re always interpreting others from the standpoint of our own needs. That’s why, when you meet hermits who have really done a lot of retreat, say 25 years, they are not cold and distant. On the contrary. They are absolutely lovely people. You know that their love for you is totally without judgement because it doesn’t rely on who you are or what you are doing, or how you treat them. It’s totally impartial. It’s just love. It’s like the sun – it shines on everyone. Whatever you did they’d still love you because they understand your predicament and in that understanding naturally arises love and compassion. It’s not based on sentiment. It’s not based on emotion. Sentimental love is very unstable, because it’s based on feedback and how good it makes you feel. That is not real love at all.”

Later we read: “There is the thought, and then there is the knowing of the thought. And the difference between being aware of the thought and just thinking is immense…. It’s enormous. Normally we are so identified with our thoughts and emotions, that we are them. We are the happiness, we are the anger, we are the fear. We have to learn to step back and know our thoughts and emotions are just thoughts and emotions. They’re just mental states. They’re not solid, they’re transparent. One has to know that and then not identify with the knower. One has to know that the knower is not somebody. The further back we go, the more open and empty the quality of our consciousness becomes. Instead of finding some solid little eternal entity, which is “I”, we get back to this vast spacious mind which is interconnected with all living beings.

Once we realise that the nature of our existence is beyond thought and emotions, that it is incredibly vast and interconnected with all other beings, then the sense of isolation, separation, fear and hopes fall away. It’s a tremendous relief!


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Thursday, August 14, 2008

Chinese Fakery


It turned out that the opening ceremony at the Beijing Olympics was not all it seemed to be. The young girl who sang the national anthem was later revealed to have been miming: the actual singer, another young girl, was deemed at the last minute not be pretty enough. It also later came out that parts of the footage of the opening ceremony fireworks were pre-produced.

Yang Peiyi (L) had the perfect voice, but Lin Miaoke had the perfect face

In both cases, the Chinese defended the fakery on the grounds of improved theatre, and I suspect they genuinely think this is OK. In the West we don’t see it like this, we see it as fakery and manipulation.

I don’t think this is just a culture clash of equally valid value systems. I think it is that China has been authoritarian for so long, and so ideological, that it has got used to manipulating people as a matter of course. You tell people what to think, and that will be good for both them and the country. You tell them how to behave. The people need to feel their country is successful, so you lie in order to achieve that. It’s very 1984, very Pluto in Capricorn.

So a bit of manipulation at the Olympics is nothing in comparison to all this. Because they are so used to it, the Chinese authorities may not have realised that westerners would see it as fakery and deception.

The Chinese have spent $40bn dollars on their Olympics, more than all the other Olympics combined. The buildings they have put up are futuristic and imaginative and iconic. But the sheer money put into it all makes me feel that this nation wants to be number one, and sooner or later they will be. And they want us to know this.


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There are 2 charts for modern China: 21 Sept 1949, when the People’s Republic was proclaimed by Mao; and 1st Oct 1949, when the central government was proclaimed. I had a look at these in a previous post. And the charts seem to each work quite well for the people and the government respectively.


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In the 2nd chart, for the government, we see Sun in Libra square Uranus and Moon in Aquarius. So the flavour of this chart is revolutionary political ideas and ideology, which is an accurate description. Contrasting with this you have the chart for the people which has Sun and Moon in Virgo, describing a nation that is practical and hard-working, and again this is accurate. The Moon-Saturn conjunction describes the control (Saturn) of the people (Moon) by the government (Saturn).

The big question is whether China’s embrace of a modern economy will lead to a more open and democratic society. This is where the West in turn becomes ideological. Because we have experienced a long period of both economic growth and democratic government in the west, it has become part of our ideology that the 2 go together, and that China must inevitably become more democratic as its economy grows. There is little sign of that yet, and this may in the long term take some of the absolutism and evangelism out of the West’s belief in its own political system.

At the same time, it is hard to see what ideology remains to fuel the Chinese system of government. It can hardly be communism anymore. Yet the governmental chart, with Sun in Libra square Uranus, and Aquarius Moon, has a strong need for an ideology. Perhaps when Pluto and Uranus hard aspect the Chinese Libran Sun in a few years there will be some sort of crisis around its ideology. The last time Pluto hard aspected the Sun – the conjunction of around 1976 – Mao died, and the gradual transition to a western style economy began. This was certainly an ideological shift. So I think it is reasonable to expect another momentous shift, given the circumstances, though given the nature of Pluto, we may not fully know about it till years afterwards.


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The Tragic Mr Brown (Part II)

Gordon Brown’s leadership is under increasing pressure from his own party. Unlike in the US, a leader can be kicked out mid-term here in the UK if the party loses confidence in him (though this has not happened in modern times.) There is in theory a clear advantage in that, but in practice the party’s confidence in the leader is based on the opinion polls rather than the leader’s actual competence.

Gordon Brown is a good case in point. As the eminently reasonable and uncharismatic John Major (Tory PM for most of the nineties) commented recently, Gordon Brown had an undeservedly high reputation during his 10 years as Chancellor (the Minister for Money) and now has an undeservedly low reputation as Labour PM. As Chancellor, Gordon Brown presided over a long period of sustained growth that was occurring anyway in the whole western world. His achievement was not to get in the way of that, while also managing to shunt considerable extra funds into the public services. This was no mean feat considering UK political history, where you would alternately get the Tories trashing the public services and Labour trashing the economy. All the same, what he did was in itself not too difficult in the circumstances. As a shapeshifting 12th House Pisces, he projected an image of prudence and competence, of being the ‘Iron Chancellor’.

This image held for 10 years, and then he tried the same trick when he entered No 10 in June 2007. For the first few months he was the strong man, dealing with all the crises that came his way: flooding, foot and mouth, terrorist attacks. And then it all quickly evaporated last autumn in the wake of an election that never happened.

Since then Labour has been firmly behind the Tories in the opinion polls, much as they had been in the final period of Tony Blair’s premiership. This is all being blamed on Gordon Brown. This is partly inevitable as we approach the end of a political cycle. The public wants something new. It’s as simple as that. (And Tory leader David Cameron, as pretend Prime Minister who pretends to ride a bicycle, will successfully pretend to provide something new.) But it is also due to Brown's personality.

In terms of what are the right decisions to make, Gordon Brown is not incompetent. Because he was so dominant as Chancellor, it is hard to take the current Chancellor, Alistair Darling, seriously. It is Brown who is in charge. The bank Northern Rock threatened to go bust late last year as incidental fall-out from the emerging credit crunch. The situation was saved, there was no domino effect onto other banks, Northern Rock was eventually nationalised (the shareholders lost all their money) and it wouldn’t surprise me if the government eventually sells it at a tidy profit. So a difficult situation was managed.

I don’t think people always realise how difficult it is to govern a country. In the 1960s, the UK managed to stay out of Vietnam, despite American pressure. This was very tricky to manage, and the government was criticised for not condemning America. But as the PM Harold Wilson said at the time, you don’t knee your major creditor in the balls! Denis Healey, the Defence Secretary, got called ‘Hitler Healey’ on the student campuses at the time for not condemning the US. What the students didn’t realise was what had gone into staying out of that war, and of course the government couldn’t say.

Back to Gordon Brown. It is not enough just to be reasonably competent. It is just as important in politics to be seen to lead, to communicate that you are in charge. This is not just cynicism: an effective leader needs to be able to communicate in whatever sphere, it makes all the difference to how people feel. This is not just about show, about image – people eventually see through that. Leadership is not just about making the ‘right’ decisions, which is what Brown always falls back upon. It is about connecting with people and carrying people. And this is what Brown cannot do.

As astrologers we are big on beginnings. And in Brown’s first speech as PM he was half hidden behind an autocue. This says it all. He is hidden, and he doesn’t have much of a clue about connecting and about political nous. He doesn’t have much idea about how things look to others, and that is important wherever you are. You have to take into account the impression you create, while not being determined by it. (I find this one hard: it’s THEIR problem I’ll announce, just look at what I’m actually saying, not what you think I’m saying.) Of course politicians often go much further than this and concentrate too much on the impression they want to create.


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Gordon Brown, as I have said before, is the Invisible Man who has a deep need to be leader: Sun in 12th House Pisces and Moon conjunct Pluto in Leo. It’s not a promising combination. I think he was much better off as Chancellor, where he could be eminent (Leo) while remaining behind the scenes (Pisces/12th House).

What has been really doing it for him are the bye-elections. When an MP dies – or gets caught having a mistress (the worst cardinal sin these days) – there is a bye election. Generally a government doesn’t fare well in these. But Labour has been doing particularly badly lately. The last one was just a couple of weeks ago, and a huge Labour majority was overturned in favour of the Scottish Nationalist Party. The grumblings have been growing louder at each successive defeat, and the recent one was marked by an extraordinary article in a major newspaper by David Miliband, the youthful Foreign Secretary, who set out a new vision for Labour, but without mentioning Gordon Brown. It is a sign of Gordon Brown’s weakness that Miliband could get away with this without being sacked.

Today there has been the news of another Labour MP’s death, again in Scotland, and with a 10,000 majority at the last election. There is no reason to suppose that this could not be overturned: at the last bye-election, Labour were defending a 13,000 majority and still lost. The next step, if this election is lost, would appear to be an actual leadership challenge to Brown.

Natally Brown has Chiron at 1 Capricorn conjunct MC at 5 Capricorn. Tony Blair, his predecessor and great rival, also has a Chiron-MC conjunction in Capricorn. Both have damaged (Chiron) their legacy (MC/Capricorn) of their own volition. Blair over Iraq (during his Chiron return) and Brown through forcing the issue to become PM when he was never suited to it (now he has transiting Pluto conjoining his natal Chiron/MC).

You can sometimes ignore bye-elections (though increasingly less so with Brown), but you can’t ignore the local elections, and Brown took a real hammering in late April (see my post at the time The Tragic Mr Brown.) This threw up a lot of questioning about his leadership, and at the time Pluto was almost exactly conjunct his natal Chiron.

In a few weeks time we will have the next bye-election. Pluto will not be conjunct Brown’s Chiron, but he will be stationing in late Sag, which is just as ominous, a planet being more powerful when it is standing still. Even if there is not a leadership challenge, the circumstances and the astrology combined would seem to indicate a further loss of Brown’s authority within the Labour Party.


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Monday, August 11, 2008

I’m reading ‘Cave in the Snow’, the story of Tenzin Palmo, an Englishwoman who spent 12 years meditating in a cave in the Himalayas. I have a mixed response to Tibetan Buddhism. On the one hand I feel quite a strong affinity with it, you can see people around it who have a lot of power and insight and compassion, and yet who are also unassuming and down-to-earth. But I just don’t get the whole renunciative thing, it seems to me like cutting off limbs that are there to be used. And I don’t get strange notions like aiming for perfection, for Enlightenment. That’s like imposing an idea onto our lives, and life is far too vast and unknowable to be able to do that. Nor do I get the first Noble Truth, that life is inherently uncomfortable and painful, and that we need to do something to end that (the 3rd and 4th Noble Truths). I’m quite happy to live with a certain amount of discomfort, and anyway discomfort is often creative, it’s like an astrological square.

When Tenzin Palmo (then Diane Perry) was about 20 (in the early 60s) she bumped into the soon-to-be famous – and notorious - Chogyam Trungpa in London. He was still a young man and had only just arrived in the West. He said to her that he’d been used to being a high lama in Tibet, and that he now had no disciples, and needed one, so could he teach her? She was only too pleased, and benefitted from his teaching. The book continues:

‘But Tenzin Palmo also experienced at first hand the more controversial side of Trungpa. She was neither upset, nor outraged (unlike his recent detractors), nor did she take the high moral ground. Quite the contrary. ‘I can remember the first time I met him. As I walked into the room he patted the seat next to him on the sofa, indicating I should sit beside him. We were in the middle of afternoon tea, eating cucumber sandwiches and talking about deep Buddhist subjects when I suddenly felt his hand going up my skirt. I didn’t scream but I did have on stiletto heels and Trungpa was wearing sandals! He didn’t scream either, but he did remove his hand very quickly,’ she said laughing as she recalled the event.

Trungpa was not to be deterred. ‘He was always suggesting I sleep with him. And I kept saying “No way,” she continued. ‘The fact was, he was not being truthful. He was presenting himself as a pure monk and saying that meeting me had swept him off his feet etc, which I thought was a load of baloney, although I did think he was ‘pure’ because I couldn’t see how a high Tibetan Lama would have had the opportunity to be otherwise. And I certainly was not going to be the cause of any monk losing his vows. I didn’t want anything to damage Mahayana Buddhism. If he had said to me “Look, my dear, I’ve had women since I was thirteen and I have a son, don’t worry about it,” which was true, I would have said, “Let’s go,” because what would have been more fascinating than to practise with Trungpa? None of the men I knew were anything like him,’ she said with surprising candour, referring to the fact that in the higher stages of Tibetan Buddhism in tantra, one takes a sexual partner to enhance one’s spiritual insights. ‘So, he lost out by presenting that pathetic image!’ she added.


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New Olympic Sport: Pelvic Power-Lifting

Mars conjunct Venus conjunct Jupiter?
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Thursday, August 07, 2008

In the great tradition, Obama is a hawk

Astrologers on the web often don't do politics well. By which I mean they frequently let their pro- or anti- feelings be the basis for what they are saying. Indeed, I can think of one astrological site whose whole raison d'etre seems to have been the attacking and belittling of George W Bush, and another whose raison d'etre has become the beatification of Barack Obama. And it's easy to attract a crowd of readers who share your political likes and dislikes and who therefore chuck in loads of comments, making you feel like you must be getting it right.

It's the difference, in UK terms, between say the Guardian and the Independent newspapers. The Guardian is politically partisan with intellectual pretensions. While in the Independent you might find thoughtful, non-partisan pieces that are just trying to describe what is happening. Actually it's not that cut and dried, but it's often like that.

You can always use the astrology to back your point of view. Does Obama's Sun in Leo square to Neptune make him an inspirational leader or self-delusional? (Actually, probably a bit of both!)

What I think makes the difference in any divinatory art is the Air element. You're not attracted to being an Astrologer or Tarot reader or whatever in the first place unless you have an intuitive/feeling ability (Fire/Water) that is seeking an outlet. In a way that is the easy bit, once you have learnt your craft, though it also develops over time.

Living in Glastonbury, UK my experience has probably been skewed, but here the Air element doesn't always get much of a look-in. Readers can be very intuitively accurate sometimes, but it's also pretty hit and miss. It's easy to get carried away with intuition/feeling and assume they are valid just because they are strong.

What makes a really good astrologer, tarot reader etc is the ability to assess the intuition from a distance, develop a discernment as to the quality of the radio signal that is coming in and how clogged your own pipelines are, and also the wretched business of facts: there needs to be a deep engagement with everyday reality (Earth as well as Air!), with what can be readily observed.

Anyway, this train of thought was provoked by a link that Jude Cowell provided to an article by the political writer John Pilger on the subject of Barack Obama.


IN THE GREAT TRADITION, OBAMA IS A HAWK

12 Jun 2008

In his latest column for the New Statesman, John Pilger reaches back into the history of the Democratic Party and describes the tradition of war-making and expansionism that Barack Obama has now left little doubt he will honour.

In 1941, the editor Edward Dowling wrote: "The two greatest obstacles to democracy in the United States are, first, the widespread delusion among the poor that we have a democracy, and second, the chronic terror among the rich, lest we get it." What has changed? The terror of the rich is greater than ever, and the poor have passed on their delusion to those who believe that when George W Bush finally steps down next January, his numerous threats to the rest of humanity will diminish.

The foregone nomination of Barack Obama, which, according to one breathless commentator, "marks a truly exciting and historic moment in US history", is a product of the new delusion. Actually, it just seems new. Truly exciting and historic moments have been fabricated around US presidential campaigns for as long as I can recall, generating what can only be described as bullshit on a grand scale. Race, gender, appearance, body language, rictal spouses and offspring, even bursts of tragic grandeur, are all subsumed by marketing and “image-making”, now magnified by "virtual" technology. Thanks to an undemocratic electoral college system (or, in Bush’s case, tampered voting machines) only those who both control and obey the system can win. This has been the case since the truly historic and exciting victory of Harry Truman, the liberal Democrat said to be a humble man of the people, who went on to show how tough he was by obliterating two cities with the atomic bomb.

Understanding Obama as a likely president of the United States is not possible without understanding the demands of an essentially unchanged system of power: in effect a great media game. For example, since I compared Obama with Robert Kennedy in these pages, he has made two important statements, the implications of which have not been allowed to intrude on the celebrations. The first was at the conference of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (Aipac), the Zionist lobby, which, as Ian Williams has pointed out, "will get you accused of anti-Semitism if you quote its own website about its power". Obama had already offered his genuflection, but on 4 June went further. He promised to support an “undivided Jerusalem” as Israel’s capital. Not a single government on earth supports the Israeli annexation of all of Jerusalem, including the Bush regime, which recognises the UN resolution designating Jerusalem an international city.

His second statement, largely ignored, was made in Miami on 23 May. Speaking to the expatriate Cuban community – which over the years has faithfully produced terrorists, assassins and drug runners for US administrations – Obama promised to continue a 47-year crippling embargo on Cuba that has been declared illegal by the UN year after year.

Again, Obama went further than Bush. He said the United States had "lost Latin America". He described the democratically elected governments in Venezuela, Bolivia and Nicaragua as a "vacuum" to be filled. He raised the nonsense of Iranian influence in Latin America, and he endorsed Colombia’s "right to strike terrorists who seek safe-havens across its borders". Translated, this means the "right" of a regime, whose president and leading politicians are linked to death squads, to invade its neighbours on behalf of Washington. He also endorsed the so-called Merida Initiative, which Amnesty International and others have condemned as the US bringing the "Colombian solution" to Mexico. He did not stop there. "We must press further south as well," he said. Not even Bush has said that.

It is time the wishful-thinkers grew up politically and debated the world of great power as it is, not as they hope it will be. Like all serious presidential candidates, past and present, Obama is a hawk and an expansionist. He comes from an unbroken Democratic tradition, as the war-making of presidents Truman, Kennedy, Johnson, Carter and Clinton demonstrates. Obama’s difference may be that he feels an even greater need to show how tough he is. However much the colour of his skin draws out both racists and supporters, it is otherwise irrelevant to the great power game. The "truly exciting and historic moment in US history" will only occur when the game itself is challenged.


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